As the Spring Festival approaches, the demand for scutellaria in the aquatic product market rebounds.
2017.01.18
1019
There are still ten days to go through the Spring Festival. After the winter, the Huangqi market, which has been stable and stable, has also shown a warming momentum. Both the market sales and the transaction price have shown a continuous rebound. The enthusiasm of the scutellariae farmers in Jiangxi and Anhui provinces in Hubei Province It is also relatively high, but there are also some farmers who have more fish to consider that there may be a shortage of fish prices after the year, and there are some reluctance to sell.
Hubei Xiantao is the most famous and most concentrated Astragalus breeding area in the country. The position of the pioneer Huangqi Trading Market in Zhanggou Town of Xiantao City in the national Huangpi industry is not to mention. The vanguard market can be said to be the weather vane of the national Huanghua market. Barometer, when the price of the pioneer market jaundice and the transaction volume are not good, the market in most of the country is not good, and vice versa. Judging from the situation in the past two weeks, the price of Huangqi in the Pioneer market has gradually increased. In the few days after New Year's Day, the trading price of Huangqi has risen and then rises and continues to rise. China Aquaculture Network learned from China's Astragalus breeding technology WeChat exchange group that the fish trading price was about 28.3 yuan / kg on January 5, the fish was 29.3 yuan / kg in the next year, the transaction volume was less than 50,000 kg; January 6 In that year, the fish trading price was about 28.5 yuan / kg, the fish in the next year was 29.5 yuan / kg, the transaction volume was about 80,000 kg, the fish trading price was about 28.6 yuan / kg on January 7 and the fish was 30 yuan / kg per year. On January 8th, the fish trading price was about 28.4 yuan / kg, the price fell slightly, but the market trading volume did not decline, still relatively strong; on January 10, the fish trading price was 28.8 yuan / kg, the next year fish is 29.8 Yuan/jin or so; on January 11th, the fish trading price was 30.3 yuan/kg, and the fish in the next year was 31 yuan/kg; on January 12, the fish trading price was 31.6 yuan/kg, and the fish in the next year was 32 yuan/ About jin, the trading volume is about 178,000 jin; on January 13th, the fish trading price is about 31.3 yuan / kg, the fish in the next year is about 32-32.5 yuan / kg, the transaction volume is about 150,000 jin; January 14 At that time, the fish trading price was about 31 yuan / kg, the fish in the next year was about 32 yuan / kg, the transaction volume was about 150,000 kg; on January 15 The trading price of fish is about 31.3 yuan / kg. The fish in the next year is about the same as the fish of the year. The trading volume is about 120,000 kg. On January 16th, the fish trading price is about 31.4 yuan / kg, and the fish in the next year is about 31.7 yuan / kg. The amount of fish is about 130,000 jin; on January 17, the fish trading price is about 31.2 yuan / kg, the fish in the next year is about 31.8-32 yuan / kg, the transaction volume has soared to about 280,000 jin;
Du Xiansheng, a large-scale breeding farmer in Xianning, Hubei Province, believes that the prices of Huanghuao market vary from place to place, even if there are some differences in the same area. The past market transaction prices can only be referenced. Farmers sell and not sell, how to sell, according to their own fish The situation, such as fish size, color quality, breeding costs, sales channels and personal expectations, flexible grasp, "the sale will sell, want to gamble on gambling, although this year is unlikely to be as high as last year, It is also impossible to increase a lot. The Huanghua in Jiangxi has sold nearly 80%. Due to the disaster, the cost of scutellaria breeding in Hubei is high. Most farmers in Hunan area like to gamble at high prices, and most of them have to sell fish after the end of the year. It is recommended that farmers should be flexible in grasping the rhythm of selling fish according to their own situation." In addition, the Spring Festival is coming, and at 3939, the overall sales volume of the market tends to rise. Applying the sales experience over the years, if the market has an ideal price, it should be small and small, not stable, want to sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell If you want to stay in the air, don't panic. There are still a few months of sales. We must consider the breeding and sales from the perspective of efficiency. "Don't suffer from the loss, stabilize the Mozado, and keep it in order."
Chen Zhenhua, a large-scale breeding farmer of Hubei Xiantao, said that in recent days, the price of scutellaria has risen every day. The cultured scutellaria in Jiangxi has already sold 80%, and Xiantao Zhanggou has already sold more than half. It is estimated that 30% of adult fish will be sold before the Spring Festival, and 20 About % will be sold after the Spring Festival, and it is estimated that there will be room for growth in the later stage. "Everyone pays attention to slow shipping, don't push the market price back to the head. If there is a cold spring after the year, I personally optimistically can rise to 35 yuan / kg. Price".
Judging from the trend of Huangqi in recent years, the past market operation rules seem to be no longer applicable. The most fundamental reason is that the terminal market has shrunk. Even in major festivals, the Huangqi market is not so good. The price improvement can not solve the problem of farmers saving more fish. As the market price information becomes more and more transparent, once the market raises the price, the farmers can basically achieve the “small wind and move”. After the winter of this year, even in the days before and after New Year's Day, the market's traffic has not increased too much. The farmers who are eager to return to this home are slowly out of the fish, and the farmers who are not in a hurry still choose to wait and see. There are also reasons for farmers to wait and see. For example, the continuous heavy rains this summer have led to a decline in the production of Astragalus membranaceus in Jiangxi and other major producing areas in Anhui, Hubei. The farmers with large losses are simply granules. For example, many experienced farmers nowadays They are becoming more and more rational, especially in the stage of selling fish. The possibility of “scraping to sell fish” is very small. The price of fish was cheaper than that of the next year. If the price of fish did not rise to a certain extent in the past, farmers would prefer to continue to raise it. It’s a big deal to sell fish every other year next year. The cost of raising more time is going up. It’s also true that fish prices are better every other year.
From the perspective of market operation, such as Hangzhou, Nanjing, Shanghai and other markets in East China, the prices have indeed risen in recent days, and the overall sales volume of the market has also increased, but compared with previous years, wholesalers feel that sales are still not ideal, business Not too good to take the Hangzhou market as an example, regardless of the size of the specification, the price difference of Huangqi is very small, the wholesale price is basically maintained at 32 yuan / kg, the feedback of each stall is generally; the price difference of Nanjing Hujiang Trade City Huangqi is not Large, 1 or less of 31 yuan / kg or so, 1 or more of 32 yuan / kg or so, sales in general; Changzhou Lingjiatang market big fish small fish difference is more obvious, the wholesale price below 2 two is 30 yuan / kg or so, 2- 4 The wholesale price is about 33 yuan / kg, the wholesale price of 4 or more is about 34 yuan / kg. According to the situation of China Aquaculture Network, the sales volume of traditional Yangtze River Delta market has been declining. On the one hand, the purchase volume of hotel restaurants with the largest consumption of terminals has fallen sharply, and the demand for household food is limited during non-holiday holidays. On the one hand, many traditional scutellaria wholesale markets have a declining impact on the surrounding markets. The largest trading volume of jaundice in the past was mainly the main aquatic products market in Shanghai and Nanjing. Now many places have built new aquatic products wholesale markets of different sizes. Diverting the customer purchase volume of the traditional aquatic product market, coupled with the expansion of many traditional old markets after the relocation, the stall owners of the Huanghua business in each new market increased, and the overall sales volume of the market declined, each stall The sales volume has naturally fallen sharply compared to the previous one. In many places this year, not only a wholesaler of a variety feels that business is not good. From the perspective of the whole year of 2016, the trading situation of many varieties in the aquatic product market has declined, including special aquatic products and medium-to-high-end aquatic products. The decline in the decline was obvious. Even the most common four major fish trades were affected, and Huang Wei did not escape this strange circle.
How will the future fish price go? In the Yangtze River Delta market, the central and eastern regions, including the Yangtze River Delta, will be affected by strong cold air in the coming days. The temperature will generally drop by 4-8 °C. The temperature in Nanjing, Suzhou, Suzhou, Wuxi will gradually drop below zero. For many aquatic products, including Astragalus, it will be good news, especially after the cooling down, the hot pot restaurant business will pick up, and the demand for hot pot materials such as Huangpi mud will increase. In addition, in Chongqing and other places in Chengdu, the trading volume of Huangqi has also increased. During the Spring Festival, there are two main factors for the good cause of jaundice. The first is that Huang Qi is a common dish for many local banquets. During the Spring Festival, the number of banquets has soared. The demand for this area will increase sharply, followed by the family and friends of the common people. The consumption will also increase a lot than usual. If these two factors are superimposed, the trading volume of Huangqi will increase sharply in the next ten days. If the farmers are not too aggressive, the possibility of the price rising will be very high. big. However, from the situation after the Spring Festival in previous years, especially after the official work in the sixth day, the trading volume in the market will also drop sharply. The farmers will either sell the fish as soon as possible during the Spring Festival, or they will wait until After the festival, when the amount of fish stored in each place is small and the market as a whole is out of stock, the fish will be seized at a high price.
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